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publications
The Effects of Political Crises Events on the Venezuelan Bolívar
Published in Issues in Political Economy, 2014
During the late 1980s the once vibrant Venezuelan economy experienced a sudden and remarkable downturn, exacerbating political tensions that had long lain dormant. The purpose of my analysis of the Venezuelan economy from 1985-2003 is to capture a small element of the relationship between those economic and political trends which dominated the period. In particular, I examined whether or not political events such as coups, mass protests, strikes, and elections affect Venezuela’s nominal and real bilateral exchange rates with the United States and Venezuela’s real effective exchange rate. I identified and collected historical data on the date, intensity, notoriety, and duration of major political events during the crisis years of the late 1980s and 1990s up until the early years of the Chávez administrations. To test for the effects of discrete political events, I estimated time series models using dummy variables for different types of political events. My results showed that political events from the period 1985-2003 had a significant effect on the value of Venezuela’s foreign exchange rates, and a major political event was usually associated with a depreciation of the Bolívar. Such results indicate that political events are often large determinants of exchange values, with important implications for Venezuela’s trade competitiveness.
Recommended citation: Schwindt, Daniel. (2014). "The Effects of Political Crises Events on the Venezuelan Bolívar." Issues in Political Economy/i>. 23(1). https://blogs.elon.edu/ipe/files/2021/02/v23-Schwindt-2014.pdf
Measuring the Severity of Stress-Test Scenarios
Published in FEDS Notes, 2017
In this note, we provide a simple measure for assessing the severity of macroeconomic stress test scenarios, with application to scenarios from the Comprehensive Capital Analysis & Review (CCAR).
Recommended citation: Durdu, Bora, Rochelle Edge, and Daniel Schwindt. (2017). "Measuring the Severity of Stress-Test Scenarios." FEDS Notes. Washington: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, May 5, 2017. https://doi.org/10.17016/2380-7172.1970
talks
Talk 1 on Relevant Topic in Your Field
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Conference Proceeding talk 3 on Relevant Topic in Your Field
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teaching
Graduate Assistant
Undergraduate program, University of Maryland - College Park, Economics, 2022
- Provide tutoring and mentorship for University of Maryland undergraduate students
- Responsible for organizing events such as visits to the Federal Reserve Board, interview workshops, and programming courses throughout the academic year
ECON305: Intermediate Macroeconomic Theory and Policy
Undergraduate Course, University of Maryland - College Park, Economics, 2023
- Design and teach undergraduate course in macroeconomic theory and policy
- Prepared recorded lectures and course materials to enhance learning experience for students
- Topics covered: IS-LM Model (Closed & Open Economy), Monetary Policy Tools (Pre- and Post-crisis), the Phillips Curve, Solow Growth Model
- Course Syllabus